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Memphis second best place for boomers to retire, study finds.:

Filed under: Memphis,Real Estate,Retirement,Self Direct IRA admin May 4, 2012@ 2:12 pm

A recent study conducted by the Washington Economics Group ranks Memphis, Tennessee as the No. 2 destination for millions of baby boomers looking to retire, second only to
Tallahassee, Florida, which ranked No. 1. Through analysis of baby boomer trends and preferences, as well as scientific comparisons of over 20 potential ideal retirement communities,
it was noted that pending retirees should and do, for the most part, look to Southern college towns for the best combination of climate, cost of living, health care, and other priorities.
The final report, titled “Best Choice for Retiring Boomers: Head South — An Analysis of Selected U.S. Cities,” supplements a similar survey directed by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, which found that one-third of baby boomers who would move to another state given desirable conditions, namely, a mid-sized town that offers a mostly warm, mild climate, a low cost of living, favorable tax rates, and a top quality health care system. Also in the top 10 behind Tallahassee and Memphis were Athens, Ga., Tuscaloosa, Ala., Oxford, Miss. and Charleston, S.C. (tied), Louisville, Ky., Richmond, Va. and Pittsburgh, Pa. (also tied). Given the rapid “Graying of America,” we can expect to see a large influx of retirees heading to these places, making investing out of state and in the Memphis market, in particular, as ideal and lucrative as the Southern climate itself.

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In the News: Bill Ackman and Warren Buffet Both Love This Investment Idea:

Filed under: Economy,Real Estate,Real Estate Investment admin May 1, 2012@ 10:25 am

In a recent CNBC appearance, Bill Ackman, a major investor, founder and CEO of hedge fund
Pershing Square Capital Management LP, stated, in agreement with Warren Buffett, what he believes is a
“great opportunity” in this recovering housing market: the buying up of houses at distressed prices.
He discussed how housing prices and interest rates are both down nearly 40% from where they
were five years ago, making the cost of owning a home the lowest it’s ever been. Conversely, he indicates
that apartment rates and rental rates have steadily been increasing by 7%, 8%, 9% a year. Once
employment stabilizes and people begin buying homes again, prices will rise and the opportunity to buy
and rent homes while earning a near 9% to 11% yield could be missed. Rather than selling foreclosed
homes, he advises investors to “keep the foreclosed assets, fix them up, and rent them…”

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The True Picture of The California Housing Market:

Filed under: California,Real Estate admin April 23, 2012@ 9:15 am

According to first quarter data for this fiscal year 2012 in the state of California, roughly 55 percent of
occupied housing is owner-occupied, with the remaining 45 percent being renter-occupied. Of those
who are statistically classified as owning a home, over 75 percent carry it with a mortgage and about
35 percent, or about 5,100,000 homes are near negative equity. It’s no wonder such a large number
of people are choosing to rent homes in California when a majority of those who “own” a house would
likely end up paying to sell. With the largest number of residents in the United States, California is
actually a top spot for negative equity, with some 257,000 homes listed as being in foreclosure. Unlisted
are roughly 500,000 homes that comprise state’s vast shadow inventory.

Recent data from the latest Census indicates that median household income in California is $57,000,
while median net worth of a Californian household is $61,000 based on [outdated] figures from 2008
when the numbers were even better than they are now. Here in the Golden State where women herald
Louis Vuitton and Prada and every other person drives an expensive luxury car, these numbers seem a
gross underestimate. However, FHA insured loans that require only a 3.5 percent down payment allow
people with little savings to buy homes and hidden $800 lease payments on those foreign cars only add
to the image of affluence that Californians seem bent on maintaining. Clearly it is not just the bubble
contributing to this trend of negative equity, but psychology as well.

The median income to median price of a home is extremely important because it shows what investors
can afford in a home price. Typically the banks are going to require that you have a 40% – 45% debt to
income ratio in order to qualify. This means that all of your debts including car payments, credit card
payment, house payments and more cannot be more than 40% – 45% of your income in order for you
to qualify for financing. Since the median income in California is $57,000 then then maximum amount
of debt one can pay (including the mortgage payments) is $1,900 – $2,138 per month. Take a $400 per
month car payment out, $400 per month in credit card payments and $400 out for other payments
and you are left with a maximum mortgage payment of $700 – $1,118 which equates to a house worth
$138,000 – $221,000. The current median home price in Southern California is about $270,000 which
means prices still have to come down in order for people to qualify. The professional flippers I know
are finding it is taking an average of 2.5 buyers to sell their home at market value due to these financing
issues. On top of the housing in California, the state is broke and jobs are leaving the state due to high
taxes and an unfriendly business environment. You draw your own solution about California.

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Disappearance of the American Middle Class:

Filed under: Economy admin April 16, 2012@ 12:13 pm

Economic stagnation, high unemployment, increasing cost of health care, education costs skyrocketing,
essential goods costs increasing, the bursting of the housing bubble dissolving trillions of dollars in home
equity, the list goes on; and yet who would deny that United States is the most prosperous nation in the
world? This past decade has seen the foundation of America’s middle class come under immense strain.
So much in fact, that many individuals have found themselves thrown into lower income brackets.
Approval ratings of Congress during this supposed period of recovery are at a record low of 10 percent,
less than even the perspective figure of 16 percent for American’s approval of how BP handled the Gulf
oil spill of 2010.

Young high school graduates, who represent the bulk of the American work force, have an average per
capita income of $25,000, a number that has decreased steadily since the 1970s. It should also be noted
that since the year 2000, college graduate’s wages for both men and women between the ages of 23
and 29 has moved consistently lower. In order to be competitive in this current job market, a college
education is necessary, if not essential, though students who take on a vast amount of debt to attend a
university are finding little return on investment upon graduation due to the development of a massive
higher education bubble and the lack of available jobs. Statistics from the government itself (from the
January 2012 Monthly Labor Review) indicate that the fasting growing occupations are personal care
aides, and home health aides, both of which have average per capita wages of around $25,000 on the
high end. Biomedical engineers are third on this list of fastest growing fields, however the percentage
basis points of jobs added is 9,700 projected over the next decade, is small compared to the figure for
personal care aides and home health aides–607,000 and 706,000, respectively.

So where exactly is this recovery happening? Very few Americans actually derive wealth from the stock
market, and most of their net worth is tied up in real estate with housing prices now at a definite low.
Many companies have taken to cutting wages and moving overseas. Birthrates have been on the decline
and young graduates are moving back in with their parents. Additionally some 46,000,000 Americans
receive a monthly charge to their debit card for food assistance. Granted that personal care aides and
home health aides cannot be outsourced, what we are witnessing is the gradual, and perhaps eventual
disappearance of the American middle class, soon to be replaced by an entrenched banking oligarchy
run by crony capitalists.

It is extremely important to take control of your financial future now, than it has ever been before. As
the middle class gets squeezed it’s going to be even more important to focus on personal finances and
monthly household budgets in order to get by. Your financial well-being begins with your personal
financial statement and monthly budget. Only after you have that knowledge can you gain true financial
freedom and develop a plan to attain it.

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Declining California Tax Revenue:

Filed under: California admin March 28, 2012@ 9:23 am

Welcome to the Golden State of California–the ninth largest world economy, which in addition to being ranked as one of the worst states in the nation to locate a business, boasts an estimated budget deficit of $25.4 billion and ever tanking tax revenues. The head of the State Controller’s office John Chaing upholds the state motto “Eureka”, in the sense of recognizing it as a sinkhole for tax revenue, which in the month of February alone, shrank by $1.2 billion or 22%. This figure is more than twice the $535 million reported decline for last month. Total cumulative fiscal year decline weighs in at $6.1 billion, down 11% from this period last year in 2011. It would appear the sun never ceases to shine for Governor Jerry Brown who promises strong economic growth for the coming year while banking on the illusory idea that having the highest tax rates in the nation is the best way to revive the state economy. Given that 2012 has an extra day in February for leap year, the State Controller’s office did acknowledge that higher than normal tax refunds for the month may have reduced the collection of personal income taxes. Another day for tax refunds, however, is also another day for collection and retail sales, both of which fell by 16% and 25% respectively, from last year. As is more likely, California’s unhealthy business environment is being abandoned for pro-business states with better tax rates. Spectrum Locations Consultants noted 254 California companies relocated a majority or all of their jobs out of state in the last year, 26% more than in 2010.

SLC company president, Joe Vranich observed the “top ten reasons companies are leaving California” as:

1 ) Poor ranking surveys
2 ) More adversarial towards business
3 ) Uncontrollable public spending
4 ) Unfriendly business climate
5 ) Probably savings elsewhere
6 ) More expensive business locations
7 ) Unfriendly legal environment for business
8 ) Worst regulatory burden
9 ) Severe tax treatment
10 ) Unprecedented energy costs.

He further states that Los Angeles is considered the worst city to start a business, in the worst state in the nation. Outside of Los Angeles county, businesses can save nearly 20% of costs, and leaving for the state of Texas can save 40% of costs, which explains why California lost 120,000 jobs last year and Texas gained upwards of the same figure (about 130,000). Governor Brown’s initial solution to the state’s crumbling tax revenue and disintegrating economy was to place a $6 billion tax increase on the November ballot to support K-12 public schools. Though he also promised only temporary raises on personal income tax rates by 25% for the wealthy, recent statewide polls showing support for the measure to have fallen from 72% to 52% since January have convinced him to compromise. His Plan B features half his proposed sales-tax increase and still considerably higher taxes on the rich. It also adds another 1 percent for single filers earning $250,000 per year and an extra 3 percent for families making more than $1 million. It would appear that since all the businesses are gone, the next plausible target is the state’s golden geese. At this rate all of California’s tax dollars will be driven out. New state slogan: get out while you still can.

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WHAT ARE YOUR RETIREMENT GOALS? A CASE FOR REAL ESTATE AND ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS:

Filed under: Real Estate Investment,Self Direct IRA admin March 10, 2012@ 8:12 pm

Most financial advisors would have you believe that when planning for your retirement,
the goal and the inevitable outcome is subsistence solely on the savings you have
accumulated until the point of your exiting the work force. The reason they try to sell
this strategy of mere sustainability is because the investments types they put forth–such
as mutual funds, life insurance products, stock and bond portfolios, etc.–are typically
the ones on which they stand to earn a commission. This designated route barely
stands to keep up with inflation, let alone build long-term wealth and consistently pay for
living expenses. That being said, the goal should be to NEVER worry about having
enough money during your later years, but to see investments comfortably cover
expenses while exceeding inflation, all WITHOUT depleting your savings and principal
balances in your retirement account.

Think always of working to perpetuate and not simply to preserve. This means having
your money continue to work for you, such that perhaps even your heirs will have
residual wealth to use towards their own retirement. Investing in real estate allows you
to obtain this goal because it produces above-inflationary returns and can grow your
wealth in multiple ways.

First, real estate produces positive cash flow after monthly expenses. After the
mortgage payment, property taxes, insurance, repairs, and property management, you
can still make 7% – 12% and more on your down payment. Using a loan from a bank or
private financing institution to leverage your investment can help you see even higher
returns on your money.

Second, depreciation benefits obtained from owning real estate can significantly reduce
the amount of taxes owed on the rental income earned. Reducing taxes is imperative to
wealth building since it is your biggest expense in life.

Third, properties purchased below market value come with built in equity, allowing for
immediate profit. No stock allows for this same benefit, which comes in addition to
possible future appreciation of the propertyʼs market value.

Fourth, if you purchase a property using a bank and put 20% – 25% down on the
investment, you can pay down the loan every year, giving you one more profit center
when investing in real estate.

The fifth, and most important advantage of investing in real estate is that you have
control over your investment where other types often delegate it to another outside
party. Buying a property and buying correctly puts the power of controlling cash flow in
your hands. Furthermore, you have control over your exit strategy and you have
collateral–in the form of a hard asset–for your investment.

With all of these benefits of investing in real estate, itʼs a no-brainer that you should
include real estate as a large part of your retirement portfolio.

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Southern California Real Estate:

Filed under: California,Real Estate,Real Estate Investment admin February 15, 2012@ 4:43 pm

Riverside and San Bernadino were recently rated as two of the most affordable regions in the state of California, undoubtedly due to their price collapses in real estate. This report came from the California Association of Realtors and actually used household income and home values as a measure of affordability. Looking back on the history of home values in California, the Inland Empire appears to be making its way closer to a nominal lost decade, never mind already being at an inflation adjusted one.

Since May of 2010, prices in overpriced counties of Orange County and Los Angeles are both down $45,000. San Diego dropped by $15,000 and Ventura by $25,000. Prices in Riverside County and San Bernadino are shown to have fallen by $23,000 and $10,000, respectively. Looking back a near decade ago in January of 2001, San Bernadino is up only 7 percent and Riverside is up 13 percent, as compared to increases of nearly 30, 46, and 50 percent in San Diego, Orange, and Los Angeles counties.

When looking at the rise and fall for Riverside city, which experienced a crash of nearly 60 percent from its inflated peak of $400,000, a more accurate picture of the bubble bursting is depicted. Viewed objectively as the removal of the toxic mortgages, not much has occurred in the region to justify those peak prices. Many investors are snapping up the properties out in Riverside and San Bernadino, with the typical all cash purchases of $200,000. And there is no shortage of homes since investors last month purchased nearly 30 percent of all Southern California homes with cash. Looking at more figures to justify the affordability of homes in these two counties, the California Association of Realtors also noted that households needed a minimum of $36,250 in annual income to qualify to buy the median priced existing single family home for $172,090.

With so many investors looking to purchase in the Inland Empire because of low prices, we are faced with the reality that the economy in this region is struggling. Shadow inventory data for both counties reveals some 16,000 distressed properties in Riverside county, and some 37,000 in San Bernadino, not counting the year end filings that have not yet entered the market. These numbers tower over those of MLS listed properties, exemplifying that not even low prices can revive a stagnant market. Another reason for lack of pickup of cheap homes in these areas is high unemployment rates, which essentially should be cause to lower prices below the 2001 point, as unemployment then was only in the natural 5 percent range; three times lower than at present. It would appear then, that current record low mortgage rates are simply trying to cover up the fact that the economy, at least in some areas, is still hurting.

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California Housing Issues:

Filed under: California,Real Estate,Real Estate Investment admin February 8, 2012@ 3:30 pm


In early October of last year the Controller of the State of California released data showing that California fell more than $700 million short in initial budget plans for the year.  A slight miscalculation, an overly buoyant disposition, or perhaps just sheer ignorance; whatever the reason it is easy to see why, given the such a disjointed mindset, we took the housing bubble to a completely different level. That being said, another housing rally downward is not completely out of the realm of possibility here.

California continues to have an outrageous amount of distressed properties, with numbers for NOD’s filed in the third quarter of last year the highest they have been since Q3 of 2010. Much of this is due to the banks moving forward on foreclosure activity, while also stemming from the banks moving forward on their accumulation of a shadow inventory. Short sale figures have steadily been growing over the last year. Foreclosure re-sales, at 33.8 percent in September 2011, have actually fallen for the second quarter in a row. Even still, the increase in NOD’s previously noted assures that we will have more distressed sales to come, most likely sometime in spring of 2012. Additionally, the foreclosure process can take up at least to six additional months to sell a property. Once the NOD count starts getting into the 20,000 filings per quarter range, it is likely the market will start to level out.

According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, we have no sign of home prices going up, and despite the false perceptions otherwise, most homeowners still have a mortgage attached to their home. And yet, reluctant sellers still expect peak prices for their sale even though the bubble has passed. Further indicated by the fact that the typical mortgage payment (helped along by artificially low rates) for the end of the year in the state was around $964, people can only afford so much home. In truth, a large part of cash sales are going to investors seeking out cash flow or investment properties. So let’s face it California–a 12 percent stated unemployment rate, real unemployment rate above 20 percent, a $700 million budget shortfall with likely tax hikes to follow–things are not at all looking good for home values.

Mathew Owens, CPA

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Trifecta keeping housing bubble inflated:

Filed under: Economy admin @ 2:50 pm

A bit of news you may have purposefully missed: the Senate recently voted 60-38 to reinstate the elevated loan limits for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Housing Administration.  With the “limit” set at $729,750, prices are sure to stay inflated in bubble states like California and New York, though it is a wonder that such a figure is even plausible given that the typical American household makes roughly $50,000 a year. Our politicians are also seeking to extend residential visas to foreigners looking to buy at least $500,000 in real estate, never mind the fact that the median home in the U.S. costs around $180,000. Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer describes his bill, which is co-sponsored by Senator Mike Lee, a Republican from Utah, as a way boost demand in the sluggish housing market. The bill would require foreigners to spend at least $500,000 on residential real estate and at least $250,000 for a primary residence. A similar policy in Canada has proven to drive home prices up, as a near quarter of home purchases are by wealthy foreigners.

Since the housing bubble burst nearly $7 trillion in real estate wealth has evaporated, representing a fall of close to 30 percent from the peak in equity. Part of this is again, due to the fact that many home buyers can only afford lower priced homes. Additionally, nearly 3 million foreclosures have concluded, not counting the shadow inventory of nearly 4 to 6 million properties created by the banks. With the government and the banks working, seemingly in a concerted effort to keep prices artificially high, there seems to be little we can do to avoid the state of housing welfare that currently continues to stagnate our economy. Instead the government should be focusing on fostering an environment to create jobs, taking all hands away from the housing market, though as it stands; it seems the only way this will occur is if their banking overlords order them to do so.  We do not need another bail out for the housing market; we need a healthy environment for small business to thrive which in turn creates jobs.

Mathew Owens, CPA

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The U.S. Debt Disease:

Filed under: Economy admin January 4, 2012@ 4:35 pm

Read any introductory college economics book you wish, most will tell you that there is no way the amount of public debt can outstrip the productive capacity of a wealthy, developed nation like the United States. Just five year ago this claim may have been plausible but at present the US has realized a public debt of over $15 trillion–an amount roughly 100 percent of GDP!

 

So those same books will go on to tell you how bankruptcy is a trifling concept to the Federal Government, subheadings: Refinancing and Taxation. Our entire system endlessly fuels the fire of debt with more debt as individuals finance everything from a college education, to homes, and automobiles.

 

Following the example set by Uncle Sam, people are virtually enslaving themselves with the amount of debt they possess, the difference being that we, as individuals, have no one to tax or no one to unload our debt burden on. The banking system, on the other hand, has nearly unlimited access to the Federal Reserve, where the sign out front reads “Dump debt here.”

 

Looking at the student loan market the average debt upon graduation is roughly $24,000, with median pay leveling out at about $26,250, assuming individuals are able to get jobs right out of college. Forget Brave New World, we’re in dystopia now.

 

In a system where everything runs on enormous levels of debt, the very idea of saving has become a sophistry. If you can’t possibly save enough for a car or an education, you get a loan instead. In the same way that toxic loans to the housing market corrupted the industry and drove prices sky high, similar parallels are occurring in the student loan and higher education market. The enormously wealthy few are becoming richer with the financialization of our country, and the more people who wake up to this reality the better equipped we will be as a nation of sovereign individuals to stop the cycle and start generating wealth for ourselves, not others.

 

Debt is a huge burden on our society and most of the world does not realize that it is crippling to their financial well-being.  It will literally enslave you into a never ending cycle of poverty unless action is taken to solve the fundamental financial problems.  It is time to take action with your financial situation and education on debt, money and your own financial situation.  It’s more important than ever with the insurmountable financial issues facing our world today.

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Titles
  Memphis second best place for boomers to retire, study finds.
  In the News: Bill Ackman and Warren Buffet Both Love This Investment Idea
  The True Picture of The California Housing Market
  Disappearance of the American Middle Class
  Declining California Tax Revenue
  WHAT ARE YOUR RETIREMENT GOALS? A CASE FOR REAL ESTATE AND ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
  Southern California Real Estate
  California Housing Issues
  Trifecta keeping housing bubble inflated
  The U.S. Debt Disease
  MORE JOBS COMING TO MEMPHIS
  Students college education overpriced and not showing a high return on investment.
  Income disparity, our polittical system and occupy wall street
  The middle class are doing worse in the current so called economic recovery than the actual recession
  The American Saver is now the American poor
  Visualization of the National Debt
  Memphis On List of Strong Housing Markets
  THE STOCK MARKET IS THE BIGGEST PONZI SCHEME OF ALL!
  HOW TO SPEND $9 TRILLION OVER 10 YEARS!
  $4.8 Million Grant for Memphis
  Memphis Named One of Top 10 Performing Real Estate Markets
  An Evolving Real Estate Market: The New Normal
  BANKS TRY AND SAY THEY ARE INCREASING CAPITAL BUFFERS TO ACCEPTABLE LEVEL, BUT ARE THEY REALLY?
  THE 401(K) ARE FOR PEOPLE WHO PLAN TO BE POOR WHEN THEY RETIRE
  WHY INVEST IN MEMPHIS TENNESSEE REAL ESTATE
  THE IMPORTANCE OF CASH FLOW INVESTING - Jeremy Roll
  Top 5 Reasons to Invest in Real Estate Instead of Paper Assets
  TOP 5 ITEMS YOU SHOULD LOOK AT WHEN CHOOSING A PROPERTY MANAGER
  CNN MONEY SAYS MEMPHIS TENNESSEE IS ONE OF THE MOST AFFORDABLE RETIREMENT LOCATIONS
  5 REASONS WHY THE CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE MARKET WILL DECLINE EVEN FURTHER
  SAVERS ARE LOSERS! HERE ARE THE TOP 7 REASONS YOU NEED TO PROTECT YOUR RETIRMENT FROM THE UPCOMING STORM.
  TOP 10 REASONS WHY YOU SHOULD SELF-DIRECT YOUR RETIREMENT INSTEAD OF INVESTING IN MUTUAL FUNDS
  WATCH OUT, A TIDAL WAVE OF ECONOMIC INSTABILITY IS COMING TO WIPE OUT YOUR RETIREMENT SAVINGS EVEN FURTHER.
  TOP 10 KEYS TO SUCCESSFUL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS
  MOST REAL ESTATE INVESTORS INVEST INCORRECTLY
  INVEST IN REAL ESTATE NOT STOCK. STOCK IS MUCH RISKIER THAN REAL ESTATE
  WILL FANNIE AND FREDDIE BE AROUND FOR MUCH LONGER?
  THE CRASH OF THE MIDDLE CLASS
  BANK OF AMERICA METHODICALLY LEAKING OUT SHADOW INVENTORY OVER THE NEXT 3 YEARS
  DIVERSIFICATION, INVESTMENT CONTROL, FINANCIAL INTELLIGENCE AND INVESTING IN THE RIGHT ASSET TYPES
  THE PROBLEM WITH BUYING CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE
  THE CRASH OF THE MILLION DOLLAR PLUS HOME
  UNDERSTANDING THE NATIONAL DEBT PROBLEM
  BUREAUCRATS, TAXES AND INCOME
  A LOOK AT THE CALIFORNIA BUDGET
  U.S. COMPANIES INVESTING BILLIONS IN CHINA TO MEET CHINA'S GROWING MIDDLE CLASS DEMAND
  SENATE REPEAL 1099 REPORTING REQUIREMENT CHANGE IN THE HEALTH CARE LAW
  CONSUMERS WORRY ABOUT JOB SECURITY AND RISING INFLATION CAUSING A DECREASE IN SPENDING
  FANNIE, FREDDIE REFORM HAS BANKS DROOLING OVER PROFITS
  MOST U.S. CITIES ARE PROJECTED TO FALL ANOTHER 3.7% IN 2011, EXCEPT FOR A FEW PREDICTED TO RISE
  The future of the California housing market
  Low interest rates kept low by the Feds to avoid another banking correction
  BANKS LOSE HUGE FORECLOSURE CASE
  Bernanke says there will be no state bailouts
  Re-default rates on modified mortgages decline while foreclosures continue to climb
  Good news for Memphis investors
  Home prices plunge in high volatility states
  Congress screws up again and now 50 million tax payers will have delayed IRS Filings
  Mortgage rates on the rise.
  Electrolux is coming to Memphis and bringing thousands of jobs
  First week unemployment claims drop below 400,000 for the first time in two years
  Loans in foreclosure are in default an average of 499 days
  The true picture of option arm resets coming due
  WAKE UP AMERICA! THE MIDDLE CLASS IS DIMINISHING. DO YOU WANT TO BE RICH OR POOR?
  Politics in investment education
  INVESTORS REALIZE OLD RETIREMENT SAVINGS METHODS DO NOT WORK AND THEY ARE STARTING TO INVEST IN NEW INVESTMENT OPTIONS
  Danger, danger, what is really going on with the California Real Estate Market?
  Are you doing the RIGHT due diligence on your investments?
  Stop investing with emotions instead of statistics
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